On April 24, 2014, the Indian Meteorological Department (IMD) issued a “below normal monsoon” prediction and forecast a 60-percent chance for an el Niño weather pattern during the 2014 southwest monsoon. The IMD forecast a 50-percent chance for deficit or below average precipitation levels based on India’s long-term average, as well as a 35-percent chance for monsoon rains to be relatively normal, and a one-percent chance for excessive seasonal precipitation.
